Christian (my old mentor) has a nice post on where he sees things going in mobile. Interestingly, it’s device-centric – he’s now at Web powerhouse Yahoo.
One comment: I agree devices will figure prominently as we become more and more mobile. Also, I agree that sophisticated social apps will glue these devices together. But, I expect a range of devices, from simple to converged to optimized devices. And each device in this range will sell at different numbers of units (due to a cross-section of price, complexity, niche, etc.) and hence dictate the size of the market.
There’s a reason why Nokia’s most basic phones outsell smartphones more than 10:1. It’s not because of lack of services or poor implementations. It’s simply because voice and SMS do most of what people want to do – communicate. And I will still place my money on voice for the long term (even for non-cellular devices, which will be in the end voice-enabled).
Link: ChristianLindholm.com: New Mobility – My remote contribution to Les Blogs 2.0.
I am really sad that I will not be able to be in the closing panel of Les Blogs 2.0 talking about the future. Instead I am home, with an aching head, jetlagged, it is 5:00AM and I have been up the past three hours, but fortunately in good spirits. I was wondering how I could make up for not being there and I came to the conclusion that sharing some thoughts here could be the best I can do at this moment.
